Moyens militaires : Vladimir Poutine n’est pas le maître du terrain

Apart from the equipment and training issues on the Ukrainian front, the Russian army, which has become bright, will not be able to compensate for the other drawbacks of the Russian army.

Ruslan Jinin did not even want to mobilize Putin in a speech on September 21. Five days later, a young man called by Ust i-Ilimsque in Central Siberia did not hesitate to shoot a military committee in charge of enlisting the Russian reserve.

Immediately after Vladimir Putin's preaching, as the Defense Minister said in a statement, they were in principle just a reserve soldier. Defense Minister of Defense Sergey, Shoig, claimed that only men with military history can mobilize.

"The two categories can be affected," said Washington's Land Corporation researcher, Dara Mashiko. Former professional soldiers who have canceled the contract and all the former signing workers who have become military services as a national public servant. However, the mobilization was very urgent, and men who had no military experience were also hired.

Just as the authorities had to admit, some of the local officials in charge of registration had tried to register the sick and men over 60 years old.

What kind of intentions do this ranging enthusiasm reflect?

Ruslan Jinin did not even want to mobilize Putin in a speech on September 21. Five days later, a young man called by Ust i-Ilimsque in Central Siberia did not hesitate to shoot a military committee in charge of enlisting the Russian reserve.

Immediately after Vladimir Putin's preaching, as Defense Minister stated in a statement, they were in principle just a reserve soldier. Defense Minister of Sergey Shiig claimed that only those with military experience could mobilize. < SPAN> Mobilization of the Ukrainian front will not be able to compensate for the other drawbacks of the Russian army, apart from equipment and training issues.

"The two categories can be affected," said Washington's Land Corporation researcher, Dara Mashiko. Former professional soldiers who have canceled the contract and all the former signing workers who have become military services as a national public servant. However, the mobilization was very urgent, and men who had no military experience were also hired.

Just as the authorities had to admit, some of the local officials in charge of registration had tried to register the sick and men over 60 years old.

"The two categories can be affected," said Washington's Land Corporation researcher, Dara Mashiko. Former professional soldiers who have canceled the contract and all the former signing workers who have become military services as a national public servant. However, the mobilization was very urgent, and men who had no military experience were also hired.

Just as the authorities had to admit, some of the local officials in charge of registration had tried to register the sick and men over 60 years old.

Où sont les hommes ?

What kind of intentions do this ranging enthusiasm reflect?

Ruslan Ginin did not even have a partial mobilization released by Vladimir Putin in a speech on September 21. Five days later, a young man called by Ust i-Ilimsque in Central Siberia did not hesitate to shoot a military committee in charge of enlisting the Russian reserve.

Immediately after Vladimir Putin's preaching, as Defense Minister stated in a statement, they were in principle just a reserve soldier. Defense Minister of Sergey Shiig claimed that only those with military experience could mobilize. Apart from the equipment and training issues on the Ukrainian front, the Russian army, which has become bright, will not be able to compensate for the other drawbacks of the Russian army.

Ruslan Jinin did not even want to mobilize Putin in a speech on September 21. Five days later, a young man called by Ust i-Ilimsque in Central Siberia did not hesitate to shoot a military committee in charge of enlisting the Russian reserve.

Immediately after Vladimir Putin's preaching, as the Defense Minister said in a statement, they were in principle just a reserve soldier. Defense Minister of Defense Sergey, Shoig, claimed that only men with military history can mobilize.

"The two categories can be affected," said Washington's Land Corporation researcher, Dara Mashiko. Former professional soldiers who have canceled the contract and all the former signing workers who have become military services as a national public servant. However, the mobilization was very urgent, and men who had no military experience were also hired.

Just as the authorities had to admit, some of the local officials in charge of registration had tried to register the sick and men over 60 years old.

Manque de formation

What kind of intentions do this ranging enthusiasm reflect?

Ruslan Ginin did not even have a partial mobilization released by Vladimir Putin in a speech on September 21. Five days later, a young man called by Ust i-Ilimsque in Central Siberia did not hesitate to shoot a military committee in charge of enlisting the Russian reserve.

Immediately after Vladimir Putin's preaching, as Defense Minister stated in a statement, they were in principle just a reserve soldier. Defense Minister of Sergey Shiig claimed that only those with military experience could mobilize.

"Two categories could be affected," explains Dara Mashko, a researcher at the RAND Corporation in Washington: former professional soldiers who were released from their contracts, and all former conscripts who served as state employees. But the mobilization was so hasty that it also recruited men with no military experience.

As the authorities were forced to admit, some military commissars, the local officials in charge of registration, went too far in trying to enlist sick men and men over 60 years old.

Does this haphazard enthusiasm reflect the commissars' desire to fill the quotas imposed on them at all costs and in a hurry? Or is it the desire of some regional governors to look good in front of Vladimir Putin by supplying the army with as many soldiers as possible? In any case, Putin has only confirmed the fears of tens of thousands of young Russians who are fighting against forced conscription by storming the borders to flee the country until some European countries closed their borders, or by setting fires to conscription centers.

Such behavior does not lead to high morale when the reservists move to the front. However, since February, this is one of the elements that the Russian army has most lacked in the face of motivated Ukrainian fighters. The chaotic retreat of soldiers from the Kharkov front in early September, who, fearing being surrounded by Ukrainian troops, abandoned a large amount of their equipment, only accentuated this lack of motivation.

Until the call for partial mobilization of the reserves, the war in Ukraine, as a rule, involved only soldiers under contract (kontraktnik), members of the National Guard (rosgvardia), volunteers, especially those at the initiative of certain regional governors, mercenaries of the Wagner Group, and, of course, pro-Russian Ukrainian fighters from the Donbas region.

Matériels vétustes

In fact, as can be seen by estimating the geographical distribution of the dead, it was particularly poor peripheral regions, often rural, with few work opportunities, that provided the bulk of the soldiers on the Ukrainian front. Whether or not this geographical concentration was consequential, it was in any case these same regions where the most popular demonstrations against partial mobilization were observed, such as the Republic of Dagestan (North Caucasus).

The variety of hostile reactions to partial mobilization shows the political risks if Putin were to declare full mobilization tomorrow. It is true that the Russian military is in urgent need of troop buildup on the Ukrainian front. The number of troops (150, 000) that Moscow strategists clearly underestimated last February, hoping for a quick victory.

The Russian army, trained essentially for a short battle, found itself facing a unified Ukrainian state and a much larger army (250, 000) that was much better prepared than in 2014, when Russia easily seized Crimea. Even as the Kremlin subsequently downgraded its ambitions, prioritizing the Donbass and the south, Moscow's losses on these fronts thinned Russian ranks over the course of the months. Since February, these successive setbacks have cost Moscow most of its best-trained troops. Moscow officials acknowledged 5, 937 killed on September 21, while Kiev officials estimate the figure is probably ten times higher. American officials estimated in August that 70, 000 to 80, 000 Russian soldiers had been killed or wounded. Given the usual ratio of killed to wounded of 1:3, the number of dead would be 23, 000 to 27, 000. These figures were released before the setbacks on the Kharkiv front in September, the loss of the town of Lyman on October 1, and the recent setbacks on the Kherson front in southern Ukraine.

However, this extraordinary scale explains why Putin decided to partially mobilize the reserves and stick to conventional warfare for the time being, despite Putin's increasingly strong threats to use nuclear weapons and despite the recent call by Chechen republic leader Ramzan Kadyrov for the tactical use of nuclear weapons following the defeat at Lyman. However, the number of troops involved in the partial deployment remains unclear. Sergei Shoigu mentions the figure of 300, 000, but the mobilization order signed by Vladimir Putin does not contain any concrete details, at least not publicly, since Article 7 is classified.

Whatever the Kremlin expects in terms of forces, this forced recruitment of some reserves has direct political consequences. Until now, many Russians, especially in big cities, have barely felt the impact of the Ukrainian conflict on their daily lives. Russian society will now be affected in a much wider range, both geographically and sociologically. Moreover, this partial mobilization comes on a day that may cause confusion as to which categories of men are potentially involved. As usual, Russia starts conscription every six months from October 1, with another conscription in the spring.

Even if Sergei Shoigu has assured us that this mobilization is only for reservists, it is unclear whether this will be enough to reassure the public, given the initial blunders by the military commissars. The legal situation may change, especially since Russia has recently annexed and occupied Ukrainian territory. Some experts, such as Alexander Gabuev, a researcher at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, believe that since military operations are no longer overseas but at home, the Kremlin may decide to quickly send conscripts to the front to fill manpower gaps in the short term, while training and equipping reservists in the meantime.

Indeed, on social networks, the first images of reservists armed with Kalashnikovs, worn down by rust, confirm the feeling that their equipment seems to be in short supply. As for training, since 2008, the length of military service in Russia has been reduced from two years to one year. This means that the youngest reservists who may be mobilized now, the later conscripts, have less time to put into practice the initial military training they received than the conscripts of the previous class.

Even if we assume that the tempo of operations on the Ukrainian front slows down in winter, there may not be enough time to update the training of Russian reservists in the coming weeks and months.

Chaînes de logistique et de commandant à la peine

Moreover, the Ministry of Defense has devoted scarce resources to maintaining the skills of reservists since they finished their military service. Even if we assume that the tempo of operations on the Ukrainian front slows down in winter, there may not be enough time to update the training of reservists in the coming weeks and months.

In particular, Russian soldiers are traditionally trained within their own units, not in external special centers.

Will the troops deployed to Ukraine be able to both fight and train new recruits, with officer casualties continuing to rise since the start of the "Special Military Operation"?

It goes without saying that a huge amount of equipment has been destroyed in the fighting or abandoned by the defeated units. Experts from the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) estimated that the Russian military lost more than 1, 700 tanks, more than 4, 000 armored vehicles, and 200 aircraft in August before the debacle in the Kharkov region.

This equipment represented a significant proportion of Russia's advanced military equipment before the fighting. It seems difficult to replace them in the short term. Vladimir Putin may be able to mobilize appropriate public enterprises, as he did in his September 21 speech, but the Russian arms industry is not productive enough to replenish lost stocks in the short term, for example in missile production.

Secondly, most of all, Russia does not know how to manufacture Russia in Ukraine, which was analyzed by the Royal Association Service Research Institute (RUSI, London). This is because it often contains electronic components imported from various countries (US, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, the Netherlands, Germany, etc.).

However, since February, Russia has become unable to replenish its supply due to sanctions adopted by many countries for Russia. At least in principle, Moscow has gained experience in avoiding such prohibited measures (such as the use of dark markets, front companies, and third countries).

Investigating a part of the equipment abandoned in Ukraine revealed that Russia, which faced the shortage, has turned into a congenital equipment that could be doubl e-used. As pointed out in a general document speech in the European Council in Strasbourg on September 14, Chairman of the European Commission, as a general edition of the European Council in Strasbourg. It is also included.

Le PC russe « anti-sanctions » est là… et il ne servira à rien

On the other hand, it is not clear whether China, which has been very vague to the specific support for Moscow since February, is in a position to supply stat e-end parts that Russia needs. In any case, the abilities of the country in this field are limited, so parts manufactured by the Middle East are required. Otherwise, will China be ready to Moscow to return the officially obtained equipment for their own country?

Russia will have a lot of old equipment dating back to the Soviet Union, although Russia will be short on sophisticated equipment. While training a reserve soldier currently mobilized, can you use them to take a defense on the forefront during the winter? Mark F. Kansian, an advisor to the International Security Program at CSIS (Strategic International Research Institute, Washington):

"Defense is certainly as advanced as an attack, but still requires all equipment that requires relatively advanced technologies, such as lon g-distance missiles, inducing rockets, air defense, and tanks." < SPAN> Second, and above all, Russia's advanced devices abandoned by Ukraine, which were analyzed by the Royal Union Service Research Institute (RUSI, London), Russia manufactures in its own country. Because it does not know, it often contains electronic components imported from various countries (US, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, the Netherlands, Germany, etc.).

However, since February, Russia has become unable to replenish its supply due to sanctions adopted by many countries for Russia. At least in principle, Moscow has gained experience in avoiding such prohibited measures (such as the use of dark markets, front companies, and third countries).

Investigating a part of the equipment abandoned in Ukraine revealed that Russia, which faced the shortage, has turned into a congenital equipment that could be doubl e-used. As pointed out in a general document speech in the European Council in Strasbourg on September 14, Chairman of the European Commission, as a general edition of the European Council in Strasbourg. It is also included.

Processeur non-indigène, performances d’une tablette de 10 ans d’âge

On the other hand, it is not clear whether China, which has been very vague to the specific support for Moscow since February, is in a position to supply stat e-end parts that Russia needs. In any case, the abilities of the country in this field are limited, so parts manufactured by the Middle East are required. Otherwise, will China be ready to Moscow to return the officially obtained equipment for their own country?

Russia will have a lot of old equipment dating back to the Soviet Union, although Russia will be short on sophisticated equipment. While training a reserve soldier currently mobilized, can you use them to take a defense on the forefront during the winter? Mark F. Kansian, an advisor to the International Security Program at CSIS (Strategic International Research Institute, Washington):

"Defense is certainly as advanced as an attack, but still requires all equipment that requires relatively advanced technologies, such as lon g-distance missiles, inducing rockets, air defense, and tanks." Secondly, most of all, Russia does not know how to manufacture Russia in Ukraine, which was analyzed by the Royal Association Service Research Institute (RUSI, London). This is because it often contains electronic components imported from various countries (US, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, the Netherlands, Germany, etc.).

However, since February, Russia has become unable to replenish its supply due to sanctions adopted by many countries for Russia. At least in principle, Moscow has gained experience in avoiding such prohibited measures (such as the use of dark markets, front companies, and third countries).

Ni RAM, ni Flash en Russie

Investigating a part of the equipment abandoned in Ukraine revealed that Russia, which faced the shortage, has turned into a congenital equipment that could be doubl e-used. As pointed out in a general document speech in the European Council in Strasbourg on September 14, Chairman of the European Commission, as a general edition of the European Council in Strasbourg. It is also included.

On the other hand, it is not clear whether China, which has been very vague to the specific support for Moscow since February, is in a position to supply stat e-end parts that Russia needs. In any case, the abilities of the country in this field are limited, so parts manufactured by the Middle East are required. Otherwise, will China be ready to Moscow to return the officially obtained equipment for their own country?

Outil de propagande et marché parallèle

Russia will have a lot of old equipment dating back to the Soviet Union, although Russia will be short on sophisticated equipment. While training a reserve soldier currently mobilized, can you use them to take a defense on the forefront during the winter? Mark F. Kansian, an advisor to the International Security Program at CSIS (Strategic International Research Institute, Washington):

"Defense is certainly as advanced as an attack, but still requires all equipment that requires relatively advanced technologies, such as lon g-distance missiles, inducing rockets, air defense, and tanks."

If Vladimir Putin fails to the battlefield for the Kiev forces, you may want to attack a larg e-scale bombing of Ukraine to attack private infrastructure such as thermal power plants and reduce the morale of Ukraine residents. 。 But to do such escalations, a military means is also needed.

Fortunately, Russia has no ability to attack Ukrainian residents on a large scale, "said Mark F. Kansian. Insufficient training and maintenance of pilots, and ant i-aircraft defense has been greatly enhanced by NATO countries. Russia has almost exhausted lon g-distance missiles, "CSIS advisors continue. This kind of ammunition is still enough to attack urban targets, but not enough for continuous or larg e-scale attacks. Other weapons and lon g-range guns do not reach most towns in Ukraine. Areas close to the front will be damaged, and occasionally missile attacks will be casual or injured, but it is time for Russia to start a larg e-scale operation on Ukraine cities. " However, according to RUSI researcher Jack Watling, it is possible to explain that it is difficult to obtain spare parts because of the large gap in equipment used at the same time during the operation.

Mark Kansian has resolved some of these shortcomings since the strategy of failing in the spring, but believes that the Ukrainian army strategy to take this weakness and deprive resources of Russian troops.

The Kiev has destroyed the ammunition, far behind the Russian front, thanks to the equipment provided by the United States, such as the HIMARS, a truc k-equipped induced rocket launcher with a maximum range of 80 kilometers. Nevertheless, replenishment of ammunition for other weapons systems provided to HIMARS itself and Ukraine is one of the next few months. The U. S. forces have brought out ammunition from their own inventory, and they must hate excessive stock in case such equipment is needed in other disputes. < SPAN> Vladimir Putin makes a larg e-scale bombing of Ukraine towns to attack private infrastructure such as thermal power plants and reduce the morale of Ukrainian residents in the event of a failed effect on the battlefield against the Kiev forces. Maybe. But to do such escalations, a military means is also needed.

Fortunately, Russia has no ability to attack Ukrainian residents on a large scale, "said Mark F. Kansian. Insufficient training and maintenance of pilots, and ant i-aircraft defense has been greatly enhanced by NATO countries.

Russia has almost exhausted lon g-distance missiles, "CSIS advisors continue. This kind of ammunition is still enough to attack urban targets, but not enough for continuous or larg e-scale attacks. Other weapons and lon g-range guns do not reach most towns in Ukraine. Areas close to the front will be damaged, and occasionally missile attacks will be casual or injured, but it is time for Russia to start a larg e-scale operation on Ukraine cities. "

However, according to RUSI researcher Jack Watling, it is possible to explain that it is difficult to obtain spare parts because of the large gap in equipment used at the same time during the operation.

Mark Kansian has resolved some of these shortcomings since the strategy of failing in the spring, but believes that the Ukrainian army strategy to take this weakness and deprive resources of Russian troops.

The Kiev has destroyed the ammunition, far behind the Russian front, thanks to the equipment provided by the United States, such as the HIMARS, a truc k-equipped induced rocket launcher with a maximum range of 80 kilometers. Nevertheless, replenishment of ammunition for other weapons systems provided to HIMARS itself and Ukraine is one of the next few months. The U. S. forces have brought out ammunition from their own inventory, and they must hate excessive stock in case such equipment is needed in other disputes. If Vladimir Putin fails to the battlefield for the Kiev forces, you may want to attack a larg e-scale bombing of Ukraine to attack private infrastructure such as thermal power plants and reduce the morale of Ukraine residents. 。 But to do such escalations, a military means is also needed.

Mark Kansian has resolved some of these shortcomings since the strategy of failing in the spring, but believes that the Ukrainian army strategy to take this weakness and deprive resources of Russian troops.

The Kiev has destroyed the ammunition, far behind the Russian front, thanks to the equipment provided by the United States, such as the HIMARS, a truc k-equipped induced rocket launcher with a maximum range of 80 kilometers. Nevertheless, replenishment of ammunition for other weapons systems provided to HIMARS itself and Ukraine is one of the next few months. The U. S. forces have brought out ammunition from their own inventory, and they must hate excessive stock in case such equipment is needed in other disputes. If Vladimir Putin fails to the battlefield for the Kiev forces, you may want to attack a larg e-scale bombing of Ukraine to attack private infrastructure such as thermal power plants and reduce the morale of Ukraine residents. 。 But to do such escalations, a military means is also needed.

Comment la Russie réussit à continuer à faire la guerre malgré les sanctions

However, according to RUSI researcher Jack Watling, the difficulty of obtaining spare parts can also be explained that there are significant gaps in equipment used at the same time during the operation.

Mark Kansian has resolved some of these shortcomings since the strategy of failing in the spring, but believes that the Ukrainian army strategy to take this weakness and deprive resources of Russian troops.

The Kiev has destroyed the ammunition, far behind the Russian front, thanks to the equipment provided by the United States, such as the HIMARS, a truc k-equipped induced rocket launcher with a maximum range of 80 kilometers. Nevertheless, replenishment of ammunition for other weapons systems provided to HIMARS itself and Ukraine is one of the next few months. The U. S. forces have brought out ammunition from their own inventory, and they must hate excessive stock in case such equipment is needed in other disputes.

Les complices silencieux : Les MCN occidentales à alimentent les efforts de guerre de la Russie

With fear of sanctions, the Russian military school on site is reluctant to take initiative, and thus is reluctant to adapt to the changes in the reality of battle.

In addition to the fact that soldiers were often trained and the lack of equipment, the "Special Military Operation" revealed the rigidity of the Russian commander, which was partially inherited from the Soviet troops. Fear of sanctions, the officers on the site were reluctant to take initiative, so they could not adapt to the reality of the battle. For example, Jack Watling explains. "The artillery unit has been firing to the target in the assigned order, despite the priority of the site.

At a higher command level, senior officers tend to hide the reality of setbacks from military hierarchies and political decisions. Vladimir Putin and his aides regularly dismisses the general after the defeat or when the drawbacks are revealed. On September 24, after Haruhaif's failure, the resignation began to mobilize the reserve, and the General Dmitri Bulgakov, the Deputy Minister of Defense, was dismissed, and another senior officer was succeeded. The replacement of such a person deprives the need to reflect on the organizational flaws of the country's military organization.

In the short term, Vladimir Putin needs to be able to maintain most of the current position during the winter, especially after the recent agency, to oppose Kiev's counterattack. It's time to train a mobilized reserve soldier and regain the initiative on the front line.

In order to get this rest, the Lord of Kremlin is undoubtedly relied on a potential ally, a west side, in the western side. Above all, it is European public opinion. Energy supply issues can worsen due to further obstruction to gas facilities, and may worsen the economic and social conditions of the old continent over the next few months. In that case, the government will be able to reduce support for Ukraine and end the conflict, at least to rebuild the front line. Such a pause is half a victory for Putin, but still wins. < SPAN> Russian general schools are reluctant to take initiative in the field, fearing the possibility of sanctions, and thus adapting to the reality of the battle.

In addition to the fact that soldiers were often trained and the lack of equipment, the "Special Military Operation" revealed the rigidity of the Russian commander, which was partially inherited from the Soviet troops. Fear of sanctions, the officers on the site were reluctant to take initiative, so they could not adapt to the reality of the battle. For example, Jack Watling explains. "The artillery unit has been firing to the target in the assigned order, despite the priority of the site.

At a higher command level, senior officers tend to hide the reality of setbacks from military hierarchies and political decisions. Vladimir Putin and his aides regularly dismisses the general after the defeat or when the drawbacks are revealed. On September 24, after the serious failure of Haruhaif, the resignation of the Logistics, Dmitri Bulgakov, was dismissed, and another senior officer was appointed. The replacement of such a person deprives the need to reflect on the organizational flaws of the country's military organization.

In the short term, Vladimir Putin needs to be able to maintain most of the current position during the winter, especially after the recent agency, to oppose Kiev's counterattack. It's time to train a mobilized reserve soldier and regain the initiative on the front line.

In order to get this rest, the Lord of Kremlin is undoubtedly relied on a potential ally, a west side, in the western side. Above all, it is European public opinion. Energy supply issues can worsen due to further obstruction to gas facilities, and may worsen the economic and social conditions of the old continent over the next few months. In that case, the government will be able to reduce support for Ukraine and end the conflict, at least to rebuild the front line. Such a pause is half a victory for Putin, but still wins. With fear of sanctions, the Russian military school on site is reluctant to take initiative, and thus is reluctant to adapt to the changes in the reality of battle.

In addition to the fact that soldiers were often trained and the lack of equipment, the "Special Military Operation" revealed the rigidity of the Russian commander, which was partially inherited from the Soviet troops. Fear of sanctions, the officers on the site were reluctant to take initiative, so they could not adapt to the reality of the battle. For example, Jack Watling explains. "The artillery unit has been firing to the target in the assigned order, despite the priority of the site.

Comment la Russie échappe aux sanctions grâce à des failles et à des pays dits neutres

At a higher command level, senior officers tend to hide the reality of setbacks from military hierarchies and political decisions. Vladimir Putin and his aides regularly dismisses the general after the defeat or when the drawbacks are revealed. On September 24, after Haruhaif's failure, the resignation began to mobilize the reserve, and the General Dmitri Bulgakov, the Deputy Minister of Defense, was dismissed, and another senior officer was succeeded. The replacement of such a person deprives the need to reflect on the organizational flaws of the country's military organization.

In the short term, Vladimir Putin needs to be able to maintain most of the current position during the winter, especially in the winter, especially after a recent agency in order to compete against Kiev's counterattack. It's time to train a mobilized reserve soldier and regain the initiative on the front line.

In order to get this rest, the Lord of Kremlin is undoubtedly relied on a potential ally, a west side, in the western side. Above all, it is European public opinion. Energy supply issues can worsen due to further obstruction to gas facilities, and may worsen the economic and social conditions of the old continent over the next few months. In that case, the government will be able to reduce support for Ukraine and end the conflict, at least to rebuild the front line. Such a pause is half a victory for Putin, but still wins.

The Russian Akinak was presented as a sovereign office PC that would defy international sanctions, but in reality it is just a machine made from obsolete parts. It is not really mass produced, but rather made to make people believe that Russia will soon achieve technological independence.

This MiG won't fly very high! It is not a fighter plane, but a (pseudo) Russian computer that is supposed to bring technological independence to V. Putin's Russia. Found by an American colleague at Tom's Hardware US on the Russian website Cnews. ru (no relation to Bolloré), this little desktop PC is called Akinak and was developed by Mobile Inform Group (MIG). This little desktop PC seems to require only passive cooling and supports both RAM and storage expansion.

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While the war that Russia started in Ukraine is at a stage where the Ukrainians may strike back, Western sanctions continue to tighten the screws on Russia. Russia is looking for alternatives to everything, especially energy exports that are being redirected to China and India. But imports, especially digital equipment and services, are also a problem, with most of the digital giants closing their local subsidiaries and halting all activity. Having run out of American Intel Core, Windows and other digital platforms (payments, office, etc.), Russia and its government are trying to develop alternatives to the sovereign, especially in processors.

The motherboards are said to be developed locally, and the Скифы processors (pronounced "skiff" (1)) are also ARM mobile processors designed by a Russian team. And the OS is based on Linux. Designing motherboards and processors locally may seem like a positive signal for Russia, but it doesn't mean anything in reality. Apart from the undoubtedly deplorable performance, it will be many more years before the aggressor country Ukraine can claim autonomy.

(1): Named after a group of nomads who lived in Central Asia from the 8th to 3rd centuries BC, it translates to "sickle" in French.

The chip that powers this NUC-like PC, announced in 2021, is in fact an ARM mobile SoC. It has four Cortex A53 cores (ARMv8 architecture) running at 1. 8GHz, a PowerVR graphics chip, a GPS, an AI chip, and more. And, far from being a stroke of domestic genius, it is clearly based entirely on ARM designs. This applies both to the instruction set, which belongs to the British company ARM (ARM belongs to Japan's Softbank), and to the manufacturing.

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It is impossible to manufacture this chip in Russia, which is manufactured at 28nm and theoretically has the same performance as the first iPad Air from 2013. The minimum production precision in Russia is 90nm, and the Russian industry has completely dropped out of the semiconductor race, and we cannot expect to produce 28nm chips until 2030.

In short, the chip's ISA, base design (ARM) and GPU (Imagination Technologies) are British, and the stamping is necessarily Asian (Taiwan, Japan, Korea, China). As for performance, you can expect a very light workstation... or a very slow one. Elbrus and Baikal processors, although less powerful than American chips, are already designed for scientific computing. Also, the compatible Linux OS (Basalt SPO and Astra Linux Alto) are controlled and audited by Russian authorities, but this is more of a case of international code recall than a genuine domestic development.

This is for the most "sovereign" elements. For the rest of the machine's components, it's even worse.

Any computer needs storage memory (nowadays systematically called flash memory) as well as random access memory (RAM). In general, the manufacturing of complex processors (SoC, GPU, etc.) is in the limelight, but in reality the manufacturing of memory is just as delicate. TSMC has (much) less talent and expertise in this field than South Korean Samsung and SK Hynix. And don't be surprised, most of the producers of these key components are American or Korean and therefore under Western influence.

Le rôle de la Chine dans les efforts de guerre de la Russie

However, China has knowledge and factories, so even if parts from China have not yet reached the international competition level, the neighboring China will be a potential supplier in the case of a complete suspension. Also, in the original Russian article, about 100, 000 aircraft are planned, but we believe it is difficult to imagine this production. The aircraft manufacturer is a а у JSC (pronounced with Azimut), and is a company that specializes in aviation electronic devices (navigation, communication, etc.), and its production line is specialized in small production. It takes a lot of time and effort to produce 100, 000 units that are technically outdated and have difficulty in procurement of major parts (many).

Does Akinak MIG work? no doubt. There is a development team. And the intention is there. However, this machine is useless at all, except for reassuring local residents and sending a message that Russia is developing a computer in the western countries and not being afraid (failed). It is useless if the Russian government does not provide resources required (research assistance, research institute, economic stimulation measures to promote the construction of supply chains, purchase of cuttin g-edge production equipment, etc.). Probably. Given the difficulties and enormous amounts of China, the giant of the technology, the king's king, the United States, South Korea, and Taiwan, and the enormous amount of money, Russia's "effort" is enough to laugh.

The reality is undoubtedly, in addition to such a modest attempt, Russia is making the best efforts to avoid sanctions by purchasing foreign parts using a parallel market, whether gray or black. It is much easier to play a front company or a smuggling game than to develop (and produce!) A 7nm semiconductor. And there is no doubt that the Russian government, which is currently dominating all major companies in Japan, is doing it. Until hundreds of billions of bills, or on the table, are only hopeful observations, smoke and mirrors for the time being.

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Adrian swing

Your opinion

Peyence's comment < Span> However, since China has knowledge and factories, even if parts from China have not yet reached the international competition level, the neighboring country is potential if the supply is completely suspended. Become a supplier. Also, in the original Russian article, about 100, 000 aircraft are planned, but we believe it is difficult to imagine this production. The aircraft manufacturer is a а у JSC (pronounced with Azimut), and is a company that specializes in aviation electronic devices (navigation, communication, etc.), and its production line is specialized in small production. It takes a lot of time and effort to produce 100, 000 units that are technically outdated and have difficulty in procurement of major parts (many).

Does Akinak MIG work? no doubt. There is a development team. And the intention is there. However, this machine is useless at all, except for reassuring local residents and sending a message that Russia is developing a computer in the western countries and not being afraid (failed). It is useless if the Russian government does not provide resources required (research assistance, research institute, economic stimulation measures to promote the construction of supply chains, purchase of cuttin g-edge production equipment, etc.). Probably. Given the difficulties and enormous amounts of China, the giant of the technology, the king's king, the United States, South Korea, and Taiwan, and the enormous amount of money, Russia's "effort" is enough to laugh.

The reality is undoubtedly, in addition to such a modest attempt, Russia is making the best efforts to avoid sanctions by purchasing foreign parts using a parallel market, whether gray or black. It is much easier to play a front company or a smuggling game than to develop (and produce!) A 7nm semiconductor. And there is no doubt that the Russian government, which is currently dominating all major companies in Japan, is doing it. Until hundreds of billions of bills, or on the table, are only hopeful observations, smoke and mirrors for the time being.

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Que peut-on faire pour combler les lacunes en matière de sanctions ?

Adrian swing

Your opinion

PEYENCE's comment But China has knowledge and factories, so even if parts from China have not yet reached the international competition level, in the case of completely suspension of supply, the neighboring China will be a potential supplier. 。 Also, in the original Russian article, about 100, 000 aircraft are planned, but we believe it is difficult to imagine this production. The aircraft manufacturer is a а у JSC (pronounced with Azimut), and is a company that specializes in aviation electronic devices (navigation, communication, etc.), and its production line is specialized in small production. It takes a lot of time and effort to produce 100, 000 units that are technically outdated and have difficulty in procurement of major parts (many).

Does Akinak MIG work? no doubt. There is a development team. And the intention is there. However, this machine is useless at all, except for reassuring local residents and sending a message that Russia is developing a computer in the western countries and not being afraid (failed). It is useless if the Russian government does not provide resources required (research institute, research institute, economic stimulation measures to promote the construction of a supply chain, purchase of cuttin g-edge production equipment, etc.). Probably. Given the difficulties and enormous amounts of China, the giant of the technology, the king's king, the United States, South Korea, and Taiwan, and the enormous amount of money, Russia's "effort" is enough to laugh.

The reality is undoubtedly, in addition to such a modest attempt, Russia is making the best efforts to avoid sanctions by purchasing foreign parts using a parallel market, whether gray or black. It is much easier to play a front company or a smuggling game than to develop (and produce!) A 7nm semiconductor. And there is no doubt that the Russian government, which is currently dominating all major companies in Japan, is doing it. Until hundreds of billions of bills, or on the table, are only hopeful observations, smoke and mirrors for the time being.

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Adrian swing

Your opinion

Peyence comment

Industries non sanctionnées Financement de la Russie

It's been a while since I read an article on 01. net, but there's a reason for that. Where did this (fake) information come from? Did you try to verify something? And you say "propaganda tools and parallel markets" ...? Pro-Russian or anti-Russian, it doesn't matter. Do you think you are more valuable and better than the people in the opposition?

Adrian Blanco says:

Hello, if you read the article (this is our only advice: Please learn to read), you will have found an advertisement (Russian's site, TOM'S HARDWARE colleagues. This is the first response to Modern Semiconductors, because this is the second response to our "pseudo news". The company was in charge of the company in charge of the Russian ISA and Motherboard, as a result of the company in charge of the company in charge of the processor. But we are all about propaganda, even in Nigerian, Vietnamese, which develops the tablet more than 10 years ago. Not a negative word. But in the case of Russia, various Russian governments have lied and abused them, as historically common. I referred to an enthusiastic article about T14MBT in Tas Telecommunications (тас). As a result, a small number of tanks witnessed in the Ukrainian terrain were destroyed. Russia is not able to mas s-produce T14MBT (the main reasons are dependent on foreign components, including specific systems).

Like the mediocrity of French tennis players at Roland Garros. Finally, stupidity is to imagine that there is a conspiracy against the good Russians. Pay attention to Russian military actions (Syria, Black Africa) and aggressions in recent decades and think for yourself.

Faramir says:

Most countries (including France) are totally dependent on the US. Without GAFAM, we are back in the stone age... so it's not just the Russians...

Arthur Morgan says:

That would be obvious, except we are not subject to international sanctions. And what's more, French semiconductor companies like STMicroelectronics are perfectly capable of etching at 28nm, or even 9nm.

Arthur Morgan says:

L’industrie énergétique russe, moteur de crimes de guerre

That would be obvious, except we are not subject to international sanctions. And what's more, French semiconductor companies like STMicroelectronics are perfectly capable of etching at 28nm, or even 9nm.

Despite strong sanctions and concerted efforts by Western nations to weaken the Russian war machine, this aggressive nation continues to circumvent these restrictions and exploit loopholes to strengthen its ability to pursue war. Many Western companies and individuals still maintain ties with Russia, some of which are directly complicit in war crimes. In addition, several governments, including Belarus, the United Arab Emirates, Kyrgyzstan, China, and India, are directly collaborating with Russia, raising concerns that they play a role in perpetuating war.

The KSE report noted that the majority of modern Russian military equipment relies heavily on Western technology, particularly from the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, the Netherlands, Japan, and Israel. In some cases, these parts have dual functions and contain both commercially available civilian and military uses. Such dual-purpose parts make it difficult to restrict through export controls. At the same time, certain industries that fund the Russian war machine are not subject to any sanctions.

After decades of Russian belligerence, it is clear that the international community cannot afford to underestimate the threat posed by Russia and other authoritarian regimes. On the contrary, it is essential to develop a strategy capable of disrupting even the most complex pathways that support the Russian economy and weapons production. This is not just a matter of regional interests, but of vital importance for global security and stability.

Computer Numerical Control (CNC) machines are the unsung heroes of military production, as they form the backbone of weapons manufacturing. The most common examples are MCN lathes and milling machines, laser and plasma cutters, MCN routers, etc. These are an integral part of modern automation in civilian and military production.

Examples of MCNs

Contrary to popular belief, there is no such thing as a specialized military machine. Many important weapon parts are manufactured using these versatile MCNs, such as beams, housings, nuts, and bearings. For example, most of the precision machining equipment used by the Russian military is brought from Western countries. MCNs perform various functions in the military and defense sectors. They range from tiny precision parts used in electronics and weapons to major structural components used in aircraft and vehicles. MCN processing can produce parts with precise dimensions and complex designs that meet the high standards of these industries. MCN processing allows companies in the military and defense sector to speed up production and reduce costs, resulting in faster, higher quality results.

Russia acquired a significant number of Western NCAs before the large-scale invasion, allowing the production of weapons parts. Even after the tightening of Western sanctions in 2022, the threshold remains extremely high, allowing many dual-use products essential to Russia's weapons production to cross the border unhindered. Moreover, all NCAs continue to be maintained by manufacturers, making them more effective and durable so that Russia can continue its war.

According to a survey of the Ukrainian Economic and Security Council (ESCU), Russian military production depends greatly on the west MCN, which is about 70 % (although the actual dependence may be higher). These machines play a role in producing many of the weapon parts used for Ukraine. For example, Russian munitions are actively using foreign MCNs, especially in the manufacturing process of Caribbean Missile. Since the beginning of the war, the invading nation has produced more than 700 missiles of this type and has already killed many Ukrainian citizens.

Russian military bombardment by Caribbean Missile (Odessa, April 23, 2023)

L’application des sanctions comme moyen de mettre fin aux crimes de guerre russes

Despite the essential MCN industry, economic reports and analysis tend to be noticed in the shadows of more important areas. Given that Russia depends on the western CNC, the interruption of the industry can significantly reduce the effectiveness of Russian military complexes. For this reason, PR Army and UES experts recommend Ukraine NGOs and have some important measures:

1. Stop providing services and software updates. Stop providing MCN services and software updates sold for export management violations. 2. Expansion of export management categories. It expands the scope of export control regulations and targets a wide range of parts and tools used in weapons manufacturing, including all kinds of CNC machinery and microcessors. 3. Corporate responsibility and public pressure. Public pressure is applied to companies that have direct transactions with Russia or their subsidiaries, focusing on war efforts and involvement in war crimes. 4. Strict responsibility for both goods. Introducing strict sanctions on dual use products and tool producers, including the criminal responsibility of CEO and compliance officers, and imposed a fine for export management violations. Recognize the strategic importance of dual use products in national security. 5. Strict compliance measures. In order to verify the relationship between the intermediary and the dealer as well as the final buyer, the contract will be fully managed. Make a dual youth product manufacturer to comply with compliance standards.

DMG Mori is the largest MCN mechanical manufacturer that is still operating in Russia. Source: Ukraine Solidarity Project: UKRaine Solidarity Project

Simply compared, if ZARA withdraws from the Russian market, the tax paid in Russia will be reduced. However, if GMG Mori, a manufacturer of numerical control machinery, stops the maintenance and support of machinery at a Russian munitions factory, Russia's strength will be significantly impaired. The final purpose is to reduce Russia's advanced weapons production capacity, which reduces war performance, and threatens Europe and the world. < SPAN> 1. Stop providing services and software updates. Stop providing MCN services and software updates sold for export management violations. 2. Expansion of export management categories. It expands the scope of export control regulations and targets a wide range of parts and tools used in weapons manufacturing, including all kinds of CNC machinery and microcessors. 3. Corporate responsibility and public pressure. Public pressure is applied to companies that have direct transactions with Russia or their subsidiaries, focusing on war efforts and involvement in war crimes. 4. Strict responsibility for both goods. Introducing strict sanctions on dual use products and tool producers, including the criminal responsibility of CEO and compliance officers, and imposed a fine for export management violations. Recognize the strategic importance of dual use products in national security. 5. Strict compliance measures. In order to verify the relationship between the intermediary and the dealer as well as the final buyer, the contract will be fully managed. Make a dual youth product manufacturer to comply with compliance standards.

DMG Mori is the largest MCN mechanical manufacturer that is still operating in Russia. Source: Ukraine Solidarity Project: UKRaine Solidarity Project